- Black swan - Wikipedia
The black swan (Cygnus atratus) is a large waterbird, a species of swan which breeds mainly in the southeast and southwest regions of Australia Within Australia they are nomadic, with erratic migration patterns dependent upon climatic conditions Black swans are large birds with mostly black plumage and red bills They are monogamous breeders, and are unusual in that one-quarter of all pairings
- Black swan emblems and popular culture - Wikipedia
Daisy Bates recorded a nyoongar man called Woolberr "last of the black swan group" of the Nyungar people of south-western Australia in the 1920s The website of the Premier of Western Australia refers to Nyungar lore of how the ancestors of the Nyungar people were once black swans who became men
- ‘The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable . . .
Before the discovery of Australia, people in the old world were convinced that all swans were white, an unassailable belief as it seemed completely confirmed by empirical evidence The sighting of
- Cost of Delay — Black Swan Farming
The incredible cost of queues In the example above, the Cost of Delay for this feature was actually more than $200,000 per week! So, the 38 weeks that this opportunity spent waiting in various queues cost the organisation nearly $8m in lost revenue
- Gary Taubes — Author of The Case Against Sugar, Why We Get . . .
“Father once measured some thirty grown Yahgan men The tallest of them was five feet five inches and the shortest just under four feet eight, the average height being five feet two and a quarter inches
- Opacity - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
MEDICAL NOTES- Aggregation of notes on the history of medicine as I am writing my long chapter on iatrogenics 103- The translational gap How long can something be held as wrong before its practice is discontinued? A long, very long time, much longer than we think
- How To Think Critically - Roger Darlington
Back to home page click here HOW TO THINK CRITICALLY "Thought is great and swift and free, the light of the world, and the chief glory of man " "Principles of Social Reconstruction" by Bertrand Russell (1916)
- Taleb on the Financial Crisis - Econlib - econtalk. org
Nassim Taleb talks about the financial crisis, how we misunderstand rare events, the fragility of the banking system, the moral hazard of government bailouts, the unprecedented nature of really, really bad events, the contribution of human psychology to misinterpreting probability and the dangers of hubris The conversation closes with a discussion of religion and probability